The low-pressure area has a high chance of tropical development over the next few days, The system is working to form in the eastern Caribbean and is bringing a lot of rain to several islands, including Puerto Rico. November is typically a less active month due to it being the end of the hurricane season.

The Climate Adaptation Center—which will hold its fourth annual Florida Climate Conference on Nov. 14-15—has been issuing meteorological updates throughout the 2024 hurricane season. Here’s the latest about potential Storm Rafael from meteorologist and CAC founder and CEO Bob Bunting,

A tropical depression is likely to form in the Caribbean and could become a tropical storm or hurricane once it reaches the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico next week, forecasters say. Once it has a center, meteorologists will be better able to determine the storm’s possible paths. AccuWeather

It's currently part of a large low-pressure system but is expected to consolidate into an organized tropical depression and eventually Tropical Storm Rafael over the next few days.

With just under three weeks from the end of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center is tracking yet another new tropical disturbance in the western Caribbean Sea, according to its latest update.

A disturbance in the North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea could form over the southwester Caribbean Sea, The National Hurricane Center said.